Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.015171 0.018859 0.023659 0.030557 0.040563 0.055166 0.079412
2025-01-12 0.010614 0.014442 0.020148 0.029857 0.047399 0.081522 0.167017
2025-01-19 0.008840 0.012788 0.019266 0.031804 0.059056 0.129084 0.418596
2025-01-26 0.007888 0.011999 0.019311 0.035195 0.076596 0.222521 1.536271
2025-02-02 0.007185 0.011393 0.019405 0.038703 0.098759 0.403394 13.269439
2025-02-09 0.006364 0.010366 0.018342 0.038981 0.112338 0.626106 2221.978321
2025-02-16 0.005729 0.009551 0.017474 0.039349 0.127673 1.019616 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005192 0.008822 0.016600 0.039299 0.142252 1.694625 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004631 0.007954 0.015212 0.037100 0.143775 2.298487 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004224 0.007345 0.014308 0.036113 0.151918 3.681619 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003964 0.007003 0.013980 0.036960 0.174752 9.124303 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003692 0.006599 0.013411 0.036723 0.190645 23.756363 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003336 0.006011 0.012373 0.034749 0.193500 62.219118 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003064 0.005580 0.011681 0.033939 0.208570 902.495677 NaN
2025-04-13 0.002931 0.005439 0.011731 0.036267 0.270500 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002855 0.005412 0.012093 0.040346 0.392605 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002777 0.005371 0.012406 0.044597 0.584752 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002621 0.005120 0.012026 0.044935 0.700194 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002484 0.004898 0.011692 0.045382 0.850545 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002352 0.004674 0.011307 0.045321 1.005752 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002191 0.004360 0.010573 0.042651 0.979992 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002068 0.004132 0.010094 0.041456 1.054619 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.001989 0.004010 0.009951 0.042481 1.369255 NaN NaN